How is it going?
Everything below is measured from the system as it is right now. Nothing on this page is an estimate.
Is anything wrong, and do you need to do anything?
No. Nothing needs you.
Everything that is supposed to be running is running, and nothing is waiting on you. You can close this page.
What is your money doing?
as of 10:19 PM UTCin practice money — not a penny of it is real. Read straight from the broker’s practice account, not worked out here.
That is down $311.31 compared with its value on Sep 16, 2026 — a fall of 0.3%.
That is down $348.62 compared with its value when the strategies were funded on Aug 24, 2026 — a fall of 0.3%.
$13,975.58 of it is sitting as cash, waiting for a strategy to ask for it. The rest is invested.
What did it do?
It placed 32 trades in the last month. 22 of those were repeat trades in the same holding for the same reason, so they are grouped together below.
Adjusted how much it holds of the fund that tracks the 100 biggest US tech-heavy companies, 15 times
latest Oct 17, 2026
by the trend follower
It bought $3,422 in total and sold $2,923 — a net $499 more than it started with.
While the US market is above its 200-day average price this strategy keeps a steady amount at risk, so it tops up when prices dip and trims when they run up.
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Risk-on (SPY above its 200-day average and 13612U momentum 11.3%): hold 37.5% of the sleeve in QQQ, sized down to 0.75x by 12% volatility targeting
Bought $87 of the fund that tracks the 500 biggest US companies
Oct 10, 2026
by the trend follower
While the US market is above its 200-day average price this strategy keeps a steady amount at risk, so it tops up when prices dip and trims when they run up.
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Risk-on (SPY above its 200-day average and 13612U momentum 8.8%): hold 50.0% of the sleeve in SPY, sized down to 1.00x by 12% volatility targeting
Sold $11,927 of the fund that tracks the 500 biggest US companies, across 2 trades
latest Oct 7, 2026
by the dip buyer
The bounce it was waiting for happened, so it sold and went back to holding cash.
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RSI(2)=73.6 > 65 — the bounce has happened, take the position off
Bought $11,881 of the fund that tracks the 500 biggest US companies, across 3 trades
latest Sep 30, 2026
by the dip buyer
Prices had dropped sharply over two days while the longer trend was still rising — that short dip is exactly what this strategy waits to buy.
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RSI(2)=7.3 < 10 with SPY above its 200-day average — buy the pullback at 100.0% of the sleeve (volatility-scaled)
Bought $20,000 of US government bonds that get paid back within three months — the safest place to park money, across 2 trades
latest Sep 19, 2026
by the all-weather rotation
Its early-warning check turned negative — that check is a bond fund whose price tends to slip before markets fall — so it moved everything into the safest option it has.
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Canary TIP momentum -0.3% (negative or unavailable) → fully defensive in BIL. BIL → 100.0% of the sleeve
Bought $3,333 of the fund that owns US technology companies
Sep 19, 2026
by the sector picker
Over the last 126 trading days this part of the market grew faster than simply holding cash, and ranked in the top three, so it earned a slot.
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126-day momentum vs the T-bill hurdle 1.8%. Held: 1. XLK 34.1%, 2. XLF 13.9%, 3. XLE 13.6%. XLK momentum 34.1% → 33.3% of the sleeve
Bought $10,000 of the fund that tracks shares in the rest of the world outside the US
Sep 19, 2026
by the momentum switcher
Looking back over 6, 9 and 12 months, 2 of those 3 comparisons pointed at this as the strongest, so it got that share of the money.
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6m: SPY 12.7% > T-bills 1.8%, world ex-US 5.1% → SPY; 9m: SPY 13.5% > T-bills 2.7%, world ex-US 19.9% → VEU; 12m: SPY 20.6% > T-bills 3.7%, world ex-US 26.7% → VEU. VEU won 2 of 3 lookback votes → 66.7% of the sleeve
Bought $3,333 of the fund that owns US oil and energy companies
Sep 19, 2026
by the sector picker
Over the last 126 trading days this part of the market grew faster than simply holding cash, and ranked in the top three, so it earned a slot.
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126-day momentum vs the T-bill hurdle 1.8%. Held: 1. XLK 34.1%, 2. XLF 13.9%, 3. XLE 13.6%. XLE momentum 13.6% → 33.3% of the sleeve
Bought $5,000 of the fund that tracks the 500 biggest US companies
Sep 19, 2026
by the momentum switcher
Looking back over 6, 9 and 12 months, 1 of those 3 comparisons pointed at this as the strongest, so it got that share of the money.
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6m: SPY 12.7% > T-bills 1.8%, world ex-US 5.1% → SPY; 9m: SPY 13.5% > T-bills 2.7%, world ex-US 19.9% → VEU; 12m: SPY 20.6% > T-bills 3.7%, world ex-US 26.7% → VEU. SPY won 1 of 3 lookback votes → 33.3% of the sleeve
Bought $3,333 of the fund that owns US banks and financial companies
Sep 19, 2026
by the sector picker
Over the last 126 trading days this part of the market grew faster than simply holding cash, and ranked in the top three, so it earned a slot.
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126-day momentum vs the T-bill hurdle 1.8%. Held: 1. XLK 34.1%, 2. XLF 13.9%, 3. XLE 13.6%. XLF momentum 13.9% → 33.3% of the sleeve
Bought $2,000 of the fund that tracks commodity prices — oil, metals and crops
Sep 19, 2026
by the five-basket trend follower
This basket's price is above its 10-month average, so the strategy keeps holding it.
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DBC month-end 30.79 is above its 10-month average 27.06 → hold 20% of the sleeve
Bought $2,000 of the fund that tracks shares in developed countries outside the US
Sep 19, 2026
by the five-basket trend follower
This basket's price is above its 10-month average, so the strategy keeps holding it.
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VEA month-end 73.06 is above its 10-month average 67.62 → hold 20% of the sleeve
2 older ones are not listed here. Every trade, with the full reasoning behind it, is on the Journal page.
Is it working?
Ahead by $795. The strategies are down $348.62; putting all of it into the whole US market and leaving it alone would have been down $1,143.22.
This is 54 days of evidence. That is far too short to tell skill from luck — the tests that can tell them apart are on the Readiness page.
Each strategy, best first
Each one was handed its own share of the money on day one and has run it separately ever since. They cannot spend each other’s.
the trend follower
up $121.09 (0.8%)
Started with $14,966.52, now worth $15,087.61
Holds US shares and US tech while the market is above its long-run average price, and steps out entirely when it drops below. It holds less when prices are swinging about.
the dip buyer
up $68.38 (0.7%)
Started with $9,977.68, now worth $10,046.06
Waits for the US market to fall sharply for a day or two while its longer trend is still rising, buys that dip, and sells again as soon as prices bounce back.
the all-weather rotation
up $34.81 (0.2%)
Started with $19,955.36, now worth $19,990.17
Once a month it checks an early-warning signal. If markets look risky it moves everything into the safest short-term government bonds; otherwise it holds whichever few of eight asset types are rising fastest.
the five-basket trend follower
down $70.53 (0.7%)
Started with $9,977.68, now worth $9,907.15
Splits the money five ways — US shares, foreign shares, property, commodities and bonds — and holds each basket only while its price is above its own ten-month average.
the calm-market rider
down $99.34 (1.0%)
Started with $9,977.68, now worth $9,878.34
Holds the US market while it is above its long-run average price, taking a bigger position when prices are calm and a smaller one when they are jumpy.
the yardstickwhat the rest are measured against
down $114.32 (1.1%)
Started with $9,977.68, now worth $9,863.36
Buys the whole US stock market once and never trades again. It is here to be beaten, not to win.
the momentum switcher
down $180.42 (1.2%)
Started with $14,966.52, now worth $14,786.10
Once a month it compares US shares, the rest of the world's shares and bonds over the last 6, 9 and 12 months, and puts the money behind whichever has been strongest.
the sector picker
down $143.10 (1.4%)
Started with $9,977.68, now worth $9,834.58
Once a month it ranks nine slices of the US economy — technology, energy, banks and so on — and holds the best three, as long as they are beating cash.
When can real money go in?
Not yet — and not only because of time. 1 check is failing, out of 14.
12 of 14 checks pass. Until every one of them does, the money here stays pretend — that is not a setting, it is the only thing the code can do.
What is still outstanding
That strategy completed 2 practice month-end rebalances with every order clean
the all-weather rotation: 0 of 2 — the next one lands Nov 30, 2026
Practice trading matched the simulation 15 trading days in a row
the all-weather rotation: 7 of 15, reaches 15 on Oct 28, 2026 at the earliest
Show the other 5Show fewer
Broker fees are booked and cash matches the broker to the cent for 10 trading days
3 of 10 trading days, reaches 10 on Oct 27, 2026 at the earliest
The real-money system watched the real account for 5 trading days without trading
measured on the live deployment once it exists
The emergency stop was tested on the real-money system
measured on the live deployment once it exists
That strategy has a long enough practice (paper) track record
the all-weather rotation: 54 of 180 days, completes Feb 19, 2027
Money only goes to strategies that earned it
the dip buyer, the five-basket trend follower, the trend follower, the calm-market rider, the sector picker, the momentum switcher — 70% of the account is in 6 strategies that did not pass
Every number on this page is practice money at a broker’s test account. None of it is real, and there is no way for it to become real without a deliberate change to the code.